Markets Mar 16

Markets get the chills as economic gales blow

Asian markets plunge on poor data from China and downbeat signals from the Federal Reserve

Markets get the chills as economic gales blow
People wearing masks amid concern over the coronavirus walk past a stock market display board showing movements of the Shanghai stock exchange at a mall in Bangkok on March 15, 2020. World markets were in meltdown over fears over the outbreak may spur a global recession. Photo: Romeo Gacad / AFP

(ATF) – Asian markets plunged after a combination of abysmal China data and downbeat signals from the US Federal Reserve wreaked havoc on investor sentiment.

The week kicked off with the US Federal Reserve joining the growing queue of central banks that are pledging to rescue markets after the precipitous fall not seen since the Black Monday plunge 33 years ago.

On Sunday, in yet another emergency measure, the second of this month, the US Federal Reserve decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 0 to 0.25%. It said it would expand its balance sheet by at least $700 billion in coming months to support the smooth functioning of markets.

To help with this, it said it would “increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $500 billion and its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $200 billion.”

While this may provide a shot in the arm for risk assets and help to address liquidity concerns in addition to the US federal stimulus action, it uncovered some negative possibilities.

“It also raises the question of whether the Fed has anything left in the tank should the spread of the virus not be contained,” said JP Morgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist Kerry Craig.

The fast spreading virus which has claimed 6,513 lives and infected almost 170,000 people globally remains on top of investor minds as the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index slid 2.9%. The Australian S&P ASX 200 plummeted 9.7%, South Korea’s KOSPI benchmark fell 1.5%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 3.2% and the CSI 300 benchmark retreated 2.76%.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed 2.5% lower after earlier being up 0.1%, outperforming the region as the Bank of Japan decided on additional easing measures at a policy board meeting on Monday.

The Japanese central bank introduced special funds-supplying operations and announced purchase plans for Japanese government bonds, J-REITs and ETFs.

Coordinated action

In a coordinated move, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity via the standing US dollar liquidity swap line arrangements.

The BOJ also announced a schedule for conducting auctions for the US dollar funds supplying operations for the term of one-week and three-months.

“The measures announced by the Bank of Japan today lack teeth and we still believe that the Bank will eventually lower its short-term policy rate. The Bank brought forward the meeting scheduled to end on Thursday to today, but decided not to follow up the 100bp cut by the Federal Reserve with a cut to its own short-term policy rate,” said Marcel Thieliant, Senior Japan Economist at Capital Economics.

These shockwaves have sent investors to the safe havens – 10-year US Treasuries yields dropping 70 basis points to 0.66%, gold jumped 1.1% and the Japanese yen is 0.7% higher. Western markets are likely to open on a gloomy note – Euro Stoxx futures are 3.2% lower and S&P Futures are down 4.8%.

UMESH DESAI

Umesh Desai is Asia Times Finance Editor. Prior to his current role he was at Reuters for 19 years before which he was a credit ratings and equity research analyst. A chartered accountant by training, he is based in Hong Kong. More by Umesh Desai